King G, Prachanda, Maoists in RNA and India, these 4 factors are
the solution to current crisis.
India was heaven for Maoists to travel one part of nepal to another
and to pass or bring arms. India allowed it knowingly or unknowingly
or deliberately or unwantedly.... India is watching for chance to utilize
Maoists for its best interest. BRB who wrote agressive writing in TKP
after King Bire.'s death showed BRB was more against India, but the
silence (complete silence) against India after that writing clearly shows
that India and Maoists are waiting for some chance to use each other.
Well, King G also want similar chance to use Maoists and India to solve
the problem and to get credit for solving the crisis and assure that
Paras can be King in future and some Sajhaities will be going to beg
Mahendra bidhya bhusan from the Hand of "King Paras", not very
far away, though its dilemma, but they will do it.
What can bring King G and india closer? Many might no know or don't
have capacity to imagine such miracle. Lets look at world scenario.
Why Bush did not attack North Korea but why iraq? Sole reason
is: OIL (Operation Iraq Liberation). India's primary interest will be
on Nepal's resource, the only natural resource nepal has is Water
Resource. karnali and Mahakali are two rivers they are in better
control of Nepal, at this moment. So, India will not drive Maoists
out of India as long as Nepal Govt. does not offer Karnali in exchange
of Maoists. Like Indira Gandhi kicked BP and other Nepali Congressies
in 1977, BP came to Nepal with a slogan of Raja sanga haat milau
(mel-milap gara)....... and they could no longer stay in India and
run programs against King. Similarly, If Maoists are going to be
extremely threat to India, India would have fired them already, but
Maoists stopped shopping arms from Kashmiri terrorists long time ago
and therefore, Maoists don't have enough ammunition to attack
army camps in Nepal and frequency has reduced a lot and now they
are running more hit and run, never had power to say "Aija yaha
yo time and yo dina ladou", and with such tactics they should not
dream of winning Kathmandu, even Tamil tiger could not capture
Colombo, with such experience and huge resources, how could
Maoists who have no declared area of their own. So, Maoists are
not threat to India. If Maoists are not threat to India, India will
let them remain in India and keep on working against Nepal govt.,
so that India can bargain and get something in return. When extreme
comes King G or Nepal Govt. will offer Karnali and Maoists will
be given ultimate to leave India ASAP with Mel-Milap stuffs and
things might get settled by offer PM post to Prachanda and
Maoists in RNA, and the safe landing equation used by BP will
be used by Prachanda and his goon. Like Koshi and Gandaki selling
were blamed to BP being PM at that time, Karnali will be blamed to
Deoba or other PM at that time.
I wish this scenario does not happen and the Karnali remains in our
control. Oops, I got my UG scholarship to develop Karnali Project and get
electricity, I don't think that I will asked to be a part of this project.
GP